Marketers – this is a brief, but super important blog post for you to read.
When analyzing your campaigns, it is critical to consider the context of the data you are analyzing. Always keep at the forefront of your mind possible reasons that the your initial assumptions could be “wrong” – in other words, be a skeptic of your own data and always ask why.
But First…Let’s talk about Confirmation Bias
Commonly, when us marketers are trying to solve a problem, there are possible outcomes that we favor. This could be as simple as “we want to be right” or “we really want xyz to be the solution” or even “sales is the issue, not marketing.” Whatever the situation is, we can likely agree that most people have the tendency to favor a certain outcome.
Confirmation Bias is the tendency to search for, recall, favor or interpret data to confirm your beliefs or favored solution. In other words, if we are in Google Analytics and there is a solution we favor, we’ll tend to find and interpret the data to support that solution even if it is not the best solution. The tough part – this is done subconsciously and we may not even realize this. Fortunately (and unfortunately) , we are all guilty – marketing, sales, management – everyone.
It’s our job as Marketers to be the objective interpreter of our data/metrics to support decision making by avoiding this Confirmation Bias.
As marketers, we are always looking for patterns in our data. Let’s say we’re analyzing two campaigns where one has a cost per click of $1.00 and the other $1.50. Before you accept that one is more efficient than the other, you need to confirm that the comparison is truly exactly the same.
Below are possible scenarios where your data could actually be “wrong” when you are optimizing and analyzing your campaigns.
For Google AdWords
This list could go on forever…
Website – Communities, Markets
As you can see, the list of question to ask yourself goes on and on. The goal for you is to always consider the context when you are analyzing your metrics. You may not even realize you have a confirmation bias when you’re reviewing your campaigns. Before jumping to conclusions, ask yourself these questions above. Are you fairly assessing the results, or are you looking for data that will support your preferred outcome.
Always strive to make the most logical and fair comparison. We have a huge responsibility of being the interpreter of marketing metrics to our owners, managers & peers.
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